Private residential prices in Singapore rose 31 percent in 2007, reflecting strong demand for high-end residential condominiums in the central region, the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) said, citing preliminary estimates.
But quarter-on-quarter price appreciation slowed to 6.6 percent in the fourth quarter from 8.3 percent in the third quarter, the URA said.
The deceleration affected prices in the property sector, although it did not surprise analysts.
‘The fourth quarter was when bad news started to come out,’ said Kim Eng Securities analyst Wilson Liew.
Major US banks announced massive write-offs from their exposure to the subprime mortgage market during the quarter, raising fresh concerns about the health of the US economy.
‘A slowdown in the US might cause weak sentiment in the Singapore property market,’ Liew said.
Notwithstanding the uncertain external environment, Liew said he believes there are enough positive domestic factors that will provide a buffer for Singapore against the negative external environment.
Among these underlying domestic factors are increased investments particularly in the two integrated casino resorts, new shopping malls, new office buildings and industrial facilities.
These factors should still help Singapore achieve decent GDP growth of 4.5-6.5 percent in 2008, Liew said.
While demand for residential properties remain firm, Liew said he does not expect prices to rise significantly in 2008, with prices of middle-income housing projects rising by just 10-15 percent and high-end housing by less than 10 percent.
There is an ample supply of properties in the pipeline to meet demand, the URA said.
As of the third quarter, there were 65,400 private residential units under construction, 41,600 of which are expected to be completed between 2008 and 2010, URA said.
Of the current supply, 58 percent or 38,000 units have not been sold by developers, it said.
The estimated supply pipeline does not include potential supply that could be generated from government land sold to private developers, the URA said.
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http://www.forbes.com/markets/feeds/afx/2008/01/02/afx4485078.html